Speaking on the Goldman Sachs Exchanges podcast on March 2, Struyven broke down the math behind the market’s reaction. Without sustained supply disruptions, Goldman Sachs estimates the fair value for Brent crude oil to be around $65 per barrel. “With the market price at $78, the market is essentially pricing an $13 per barrel risk premium,” Struyven explained. According to the firm’s models, this $13 premium perfectly aligns with the expected price impact of a 100% full closure of the Strait of Hormuz lasting for roughly one month.
The strategy Thiabult outlined for Codex is similar to the one pursued by OpenAI’s rival Anthropic, which has seen viral growth of its Claude Code product among software developers but which has also sought to position Claude Code as a tool that other professionals can use to spin up AI agents too. It released Claude Cowork, a separate product, designed specifically to help people use AI agents to control common work software products, such as spreadsheets, email, and calendar apps.
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